Analisi Funzionale: Teoria e Applicazioni by Haim Brezis
By Haim Brezis
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Extra info for Analisi Funzionale: Teoria e Applicazioni
1 Identifying exceptional fiscal episodes The first step in our empirical analysis is the identification of so-called “exceptional” fiscal episodes. We need to separate these exceptional fiscal periods from normal times in order to grasp the systemic characteristics of exceptional cases. Exceptional fiscal episodes are defined as times when some measure of the balance of the general government experiences a significant change. Therefore, we need to focus on large adjustments exclusively, and leave the other observations with a relatively low or neutral impact out of the research.
The credibility effect is strongly conditioned on the perceived change of the default risk of a country, and exerts basically its ultimate effect through two main channels. First, the reduced risk premia—triggered by credible fiscal consolidation—will reduce the interest rate in the economy, thereby crowding-in private investment and boosting aggregate demand. Second, the reduction in risk premia and interest rates would also revaluate the nominal value of individuals’ financial assets. The increased market value of the stock of wealth will in turn induce privates to spend more on consumption.
2002). Benczés 2 9/13/07 6:02 PM Page 35 An Expectational View of Fiscal Policy 35 contraction, assuming a trade-off between the two. The short-term costs (providing a positive multiplier) can be compensated by the long-term benefits by the raised potential output. In such a situation the question is whether it is politically rational to undertake adjustment in the short run in the hope of the longer term benefits. A credible communication of the redistribution of net gains and the establishment of winning coalitions might be the necessary prerequisites for politicians to go ahead with corrective measures.